TABLE OF CONTENT

PREAMBLE

1       INTRODUCTION
         1.1 TERMS OF REFERENCE


2      CONSTRAINTS, POTENTIALS AND ASSUMPTIONS
         2.1 CONSTITUTIONAL AND STRATEGIC FACTORS
         2.2 SCENARIOS
         2.3 PRINCIPAL CONSTRAINTS
         2.4 KEY ASSUMPTIONS
         2.5 SHORT-TERM IMPLICATIONS
         2.6 REQUIRED SHORT TERM ACTIONS


3       TASK I - SECTORAL DEMANDS: PORT FACILITIES
         3.1 SECTORAL DEMANDS FOR PORT FACILITIES: FISHING
               3.1.1 THE FISH RESOURCE, EXPLOITATION AND POLICY
                        3.1.1.1 SENSITIVITY OF ANALYSIS
                        3.1.1.2 LIVING MARINE RESOURCES
                        3.1.1.3 PROJECTIONS OF TOTAL ALLOWABLE CATCHES
         TABLE 1: ESTIMATES OF LONG-RUN MSYs
         TABLE 2: NOMINAL CATCHES OF NAMIBIAN FISH, 1991 - 2015
         TABLE 3: NOTES ON THE FISH CATCH PROJECTIONS
                        3.1.1.4 DISTANCE FROM COAST
                        3.1.1.5 DISTRIBUTION ALONG COAST
         TABLE 4: GEOGRAPHICAL DISTRIBUTION OF FISH SPECIES
                        3.1.1.6 PRESENT FISHING CAPACITY
         TABLE 5: NAMIBIAN LICENSED FISHING VESSELS, 1989 - 1992
         TABLE 6: FISHING VESSELS: SIZE AND SHARE, 1992
         TABLE 7: DISTRIBUTION OF FISHING VESSELS: TONNAGES, 1992
         TABLE 8: DISTRIBUTION OF FISHING VESSELS: NUMBERS, 1992
         TABLE 9: ESTIMATES OF VESSEL FISHING CAPACITY, 1992
                        3.1.1.7 PRESENT PROCESSING CAPACITY
                        3.1.1.8 GOVERNMENT POLICY AND STRATEGY
               3.1.2 SECTORAL DEVELOPMENT PERSPECTIVES
                        3.1.2.1 FUTURE EXPANSION OF THE FLEET
         TABLE 10: FISHING FLEET PROJECTION: 1991 - 2015
                        3.1.2.2 SHORE PROCESSING
         TABLE 11: SHORE PROCESSING PROJECTION: 1991 - 2015
               3.1.3 INFRASTRUCTURE FOR VESSELS AND PROCESSING
                        3.1.3.1 FISHING FLEET AND PORT INFRASTRUCTURE
               3.1.4 FISHING GROUNDS AND HARBOUR LOCATIONS
                        3.1.4.1 VESSEL TYPES AND ACCESS TO FISHING GROUNDS
         TABLE 12: CATCH PROJECTIONS FOR 1991 - 2015
         3.2 SECTORAL DEMANDS: PORT FACILITIES: LAND MINING
               3.2.1 MINING DEVELOPMENT AND MINERAL EXPORTS
                        3.2.1.2 DEVELOPMENT OF MINERAL PROSPECTS
               3.2.2 CURRENT MINING ACTIVITIES
         TABLE 13: THROUGHPUT OF MINERALS: WALVIS BAY
               3.2.3 BASE METALS WITHIN NAMIBIA
               3.2.4 BASE METALS OUTSIDE NAMIBIA
               3.2.5 COAL
               3.2.6 INDUSTRIAL MINERALS AND DIMENSION STONE
               3.2.7 DEMAND EXPECTATIONS FOR EXPECTED GROWTH
         TABLE 14: THROUGHPUT OF MINING PRODUCTS
         3.3 SECTORAL DEMAND: PORT FACILITIES: OFFSHORE MINING
               3.3.1 PETROLEUM AND NATURAL GAS
                        3.3.1.1 THE EXPLORATION PHASE
         TABLE 15: PORT DEMAND SCENARIO: OIL EXPLORATIONS
                        3.3.1.2 OIL DEVELOPMENT AND PRODUCTION
         3.4 DEMANDS ON PORT THROUGHPUT AND PORT SERVICES
         TABLE 16: GROWTH IN GDP: 1980 - 1991
         TABLE 17: ECONOMIC GROWTH SCENARIOS
         TABLE 18: SUMMARY OF MAIN SECTORAL COMPONENTS
               3.4.1 CARGO IMPORT DEMAND
         TABLE 19: CARGO IMPORT DEMAND: PORT THROUGHPUT
               3.4.2 CARGO EXPORT DEMAND
         TABLE 20: CARGO IMPORT DEMAND: PORT THROUGHPUT
               3.4.3 FISHING INDUSTRY DEMAND
         TABLE 21: FISH LANDED
         TABLE 22: SEA-FROZEN FISH TRANSHIPPED
         TABLE 23: EXPORTS OF FISH PRODUCTS
       3.4.4 SERVICES TO THE OFF-SHORE INDUSTRY
         TABLE 24: TOTAL THROUGHPUTS: OFF-SHORE INDUSTRY
               3.4.5 TRANSIT TRAFFIC FROM/TO NEIGHBOURING COUNTRIES
         TABLE 25: TRANSIT TRAFFIC TO NEIGHBOURING COUNTRIES
               3.4.6 SUMMARY OF TOTAL IMPORT/EXPORT PROJECTIONS
         TABLE 26: SUMMARY OF TOTAL THROUGHPUTS

4       TASK II - ENVIRONMENTAL CONSIDERATIONS

5       TASK III - PORT FACILITIES REQUIREMENTS
         5.1 METHODOLOGY
         TABLE 27: PROJECTION OF LIVE CARGO
         TABLE 28: PROJECTION OF GENERAL CARGO
         TABLE 29: PROJECTION OF CONTAINERISED CARGO
         TABLE 30: PROJECTION OF BULK CARGO
         TABLE 31: PROJECTION OF LIQUID CARGO
         5.2 FACILITIES FOR THE FISHING INDUSTRY
         TABLE 32: PURSE-SEINERS: REQUIRED BERTH LENGTH
         TABLE 33: PURSE-SEINERS: EXPECTED GROWTH
         TABLE 34: MIDWATER TRAWLERS: REQUIRED BERTH LENGTH
         TABLE 35: MIDWATER TRAWLERS: EXPECTED GROWTH
         TABLE 36: REQUIRED BERTH LENGTH FOR FREEZER AND WET
                              FISH
         TABLE 37: FREEZER AND WETFISH TRAWLERS: EXPECTED
                             GROWTH
         TABLE 38: REQUIRED BERTH LENGTH FOR SMALLER VESSELS
         TABLE 39: EXPORTS OF FISH PRODUCTS BY SEA
         TABLE 40: GENERAL CARGO BERTH REQUIREMENTS
         TABLE 41: CONTAINER BERTH REQUIREMENTS
         TABLE 42: BULK CARGO BERTH REQUIREMENTS
         TABLE 43: LIQUID CARGO BERTH REQUIREMENTS
         TABLE 44: FACILITIES FOR OFF-SHORE OIL INDUSTRY

6       TASK IV - PORT DEVELOPMENT OPTIONS
         6.1 ADEQUACY OF EXISTING PORT FACILITIES
         TABLE 45: CAPACITY OF WALVIS BAY COMMERCIAL PORT
         TABLE 46: CAPACITY OF WALVIS BAY PORT WITH EXPANSION
         6.2 PORT OPTIONS AND LOCATIONS
         6.3 PORT OPTIONS UNDER STRATEGIC CONTEXTS
         TABLE 47: PORT OPTIONS UNDER STRATEGIC CONTEXTS

7       TASK V - ENGINEERING AND COST ANALYSES
         7.1 MAJOR MARINE ENGINEERING REQUIREMENTS
               7.1.1 L1: LÜDERITZ FISHING PORT
               7.1.2 WB1: WALVIS BAY COMMERCIAL PORT
               7.1.3 CC1: CAPE CROSS COMMERCIAL PORT
               7.1.4 WB1-B: WALVIS BAY FISHING PORT DEVELOPMENT
               7.1.5 WB1-A: WALVIS BAY FISHING PORT DEVELOPMENT
               7.1.6 WB1-D: WALVIS BAY FISHING PORT EXTENSION
               7.1.7 WB1-C: WALVIS BAY FISHING PORT EXTENSION
               7.1.8 CC1-A: CAPE CROSS FISHING PORT
               7.1.9 CC1-B: CAPE CROSS FISHING PORT
               7.1.10 CC1-C: CAPE CROSS FISHING PORT
               7.1.11 CC1-D: CAPE CROSS FISHING PORT
               7.1.12 MB1: MÖWE BAY FISHING PORT
         7.2 IDENTIFICATION OF PORT DEVELOPMENT OPTIONS
         TABLE 48: MATRIX OF PORT DEVELOPMENT OPTIONS
               7.2.1 PORT DEVELOPMENT OPTION 1
               7.2.2 PORT DEVELOPMENT OPTION 2A
               7.2.3 PORT DEVELOPMENT OPTION 2B
               7.2.4 PORT DEVELOPMENT OPTION 3A
               7.2.5 PORT DEVELOPMENT OPTION 3B
               7.2.6 PORT DEVELOPMENT OPTION 4A
               7.2.7 PORT DEVELOPMENT OPTION 4B
               7.2.8 PORT SERVICE TO THE OFFSHORE OIL INDUSTRY
          7.3 ALTERNATIVE "FLEXIPORT" OPTION FOR NEW PORT
          7.4 SUPPORTING PHYSICAL INFRASTRUCTURE AND RESOURCES
          TABLE 49: POPULATION OF COASTAL TOWNS, 1981 AND 1991
          TABLE 50: POPULATION PROJECTIONS: DIFFERENT OPTIONS
          TABLE 51: BULKWATER SUPPLIES FROM NAMIB
          TABLE 52: FRESH WATER CONSUMPTION: WALVIS BAY, 1990/91
          TABLE 53: WATER DEMAND: NON-PORT CENTRES
          TABLE 54: WATER DEMAND: CENTRAL AREA PORT OPTIONS
          TABLE 55: TOTAL WATER DEMAND: CENTRAL AREA
          TABLE 56: WATER DEMAND FOR CAPE CROSS
               7.4.1 WALVIS BAY
               7.4.2 CAPE CROSS
                        7.4.2.1 UPGRADING OF THE ACCESS ROAD TO CAPE CROSS
          TABLE 57: ROAD: SWAKOPMUND-CAPE CROSS
          TABLE 58: SWAKOPMUND BY-PASS
          TABLE 59: CAPE CROSS ACCESS ROAD: COSTS
                        7.4.2.2 NEW RAILWAY LINE TO CAPE CROSS
          TABLE 60: SCENARIOS FOR TREKKOPJE-CAPE CROSS RAILWAY
               7.4.3 MÖWE BAY
          7.5 CONCLUSION: ENGINEERING AND COST ANALYSES
          TABLE 61: ENGINEERING COSTS: PORT FACILITY DEVELOPMENTS
          TABLE 62: COST ESTIMATES: SUPPORTING INFRASTRUCTURE
          TABLE 63: SUMMARY: PORT AND INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECT
                              COSTS
          TABLE 64: SUMMARY: PORT AND INFRASTRUCTURAL OPTION
                              COSTS

8        TASK VI - COST BENEFIT ANALYSIS
          8.1 INTRODUCTION
          8.2 SCOPE AND LIMITATIONS OF THE ANALYSIS
                8.2.1 PORT DEVELOPMENT OPTIONS
          TABLE 65: ROAD DISTANCES
                8.2.2 ASSUMPTIONS AND METHODOLOGY
          TABLE 66: DREDGING COSTS
                8.2.3 ESTIMATION OF PORT ACCOUNTS
          8.3 FINANCIAL VIABILITY CASH-FLOW ANALYSIS
          TABLE 67: TOTAL LEVY RETURNS ATTRIBUTABLE TO PORT
                               PROJECTS
          8.4 A FISHING PORT AT MÖWE BAY
                8.4.1 PORT INFRASTRUCTURE
                8.4.2 SOCIAL AND SUPPORTING INFRASTRUCTURE
          8.5 EXPANDED FISHING PORT FACILITIES AT WALVIS BAY
                8.5.1 PORT INFRASTRUCTURE
                8.5.2 SOCIAL AND SUPPORTING INFRASTRUCTURE
          8.6 EXPANDED FISHING PORT AT LÜDERITZ
                8.6.1 PORT INFRASTRUCTURE
                8.6.2 SOCIAL AND SUPPORTING INFRASTRUCTURE
          8.7 TWO ALTERNATIVE PORT DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMMES

9        TASK VII - ANALYSIS OF THE PORT OPTIONS

10       CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS

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