PREAMBLE
1 INTRODUCTION
1.1 TERMS OF REFERENCE
2 CONSTRAINTS, POTENTIALS AND ASSUMPTIONS
2.1 CONSTITUTIONAL AND STRATEGIC FACTORS
2.2 SCENARIOS
2.3 PRINCIPAL CONSTRAINTS
2.4 KEY ASSUMPTIONS
2.5 SHORT-TERM IMPLICATIONS
2.6 REQUIRED SHORT TERM ACTIONS
3 TASK I - SECTORAL DEMANDS: PORT
FACILITIES
3.1 SECTORAL DEMANDS FOR PORT FACILITIES:
FISHING
3.1.1
THE FISH RESOURCE, EXPLOITATION AND POLICY
3.1.1.1 SENSITIVITY OF ANALYSIS
3.1.1.2 LIVING MARINE RESOURCES
3.1.1.3 PROJECTIONS OF TOTAL ALLOWABLE CATCHES
TABLE 1: ESTIMATES OF LONG-RUN MSYs
TABLE 2: NOMINAL CATCHES OF NAMIBIAN
FISH, 1991 - 2015
TABLE 3: NOTES ON THE FISH CATCH
PROJECTIONS
3.1.1.4 DISTANCE FROM COAST
3.1.1.5 DISTRIBUTION ALONG COAST
TABLE 4: GEOGRAPHICAL DISTRIBUTION OF
FISH SPECIES
3.1.1.6 PRESENT FISHING CAPACITY
TABLE 5: NAMIBIAN LICENSED FISHING
VESSELS, 1989 - 1992
TABLE 6: FISHING VESSELS: SIZE AND SHARE,
1992
TABLE 7: DISTRIBUTION OF FISHING VESSELS:
TONNAGES, 1992
TABLE 8: DISTRIBUTION OF FISHING VESSELS:
NUMBERS, 1992
TABLE 9: ESTIMATES OF VESSEL FISHING
CAPACITY, 1992
3.1.1.7 PRESENT PROCESSING CAPACITY
3.1.1.8 GOVERNMENT POLICY AND STRATEGY
3.1.2
SECTORAL DEVELOPMENT PERSPECTIVES
3.1.2.1 FUTURE EXPANSION OF THE FLEET
TABLE 10: FISHING FLEET PROJECTION: 1991
- 2015
3.1.2.2 SHORE PROCESSING
TABLE 11: SHORE PROCESSING PROJECTION:
1991 - 2015
3.1.3
INFRASTRUCTURE FOR VESSELS AND PROCESSING
3.1.3.1 FISHING FLEET AND PORT INFRASTRUCTURE
3.1.4
FISHING GROUNDS AND HARBOUR LOCATIONS
3.1.4.1 VESSEL TYPES AND ACCESS TO FISHING GROUNDS
TABLE 12: CATCH PROJECTIONS FOR 1991 -
2015
3.2 SECTORAL DEMANDS: PORT FACILITIES:
LAND MINING
3.2.1
MINING DEVELOPMENT AND MINERAL EXPORTS
3.2.1.2 DEVELOPMENT OF MINERAL PROSPECTS
3.2.2
CURRENT MINING ACTIVITIES
TABLE 13: THROUGHPUT OF MINERALS: WALVIS
BAY
3.2.3
BASE METALS WITHIN NAMIBIA
3.2.4
BASE METALS OUTSIDE NAMIBIA
3.2.5
COAL
3.2.6
INDUSTRIAL MINERALS AND DIMENSION STONE
3.2.7
DEMAND EXPECTATIONS FOR EXPECTED GROWTH
TABLE 14: THROUGHPUT OF MINING PRODUCTS
3.3 SECTORAL DEMAND: PORT FACILITIES:
OFFSHORE MINING
3.3.1
PETROLEUM AND NATURAL GAS
3.3.1.1 THE EXPLORATION PHASE
TABLE 15: PORT DEMAND SCENARIO: OIL
EXPLORATIONS
3.3.1.2 OIL DEVELOPMENT AND PRODUCTION
3.4 DEMANDS ON PORT THROUGHPUT AND PORT
SERVICES
TABLE 16: GROWTH IN GDP: 1980 - 1991
TABLE 17: ECONOMIC GROWTH SCENARIOS
TABLE 18: SUMMARY OF MAIN SECTORAL
COMPONENTS
3.4.1
CARGO IMPORT DEMAND
TABLE 19: CARGO IMPORT DEMAND: PORT
THROUGHPUT
3.4.2
CARGO EXPORT DEMAND
TABLE 20: CARGO IMPORT DEMAND: PORT
THROUGHPUT
3.4.3
FISHING INDUSTRY DEMAND
TABLE 21: FISH LANDED
TABLE 22: SEA-FROZEN FISH TRANSHIPPED
TABLE 23: EXPORTS OF FISH PRODUCTS
3.4.4 SERVICES TO THE OFF-SHORE INDUSTRY
TABLE 24: TOTAL THROUGHPUTS: OFF-SHORE
INDUSTRY
3.4.5
TRANSIT TRAFFIC FROM/TO NEIGHBOURING COUNTRIES
TABLE 25: TRANSIT TRAFFIC TO NEIGHBOURING
COUNTRIES
3.4.6
SUMMARY OF TOTAL IMPORT/EXPORT PROJECTIONS
TABLE 26: SUMMARY OF TOTAL THROUGHPUTS
4 TASK II - ENVIRONMENTAL
CONSIDERATIONS
5 TASK III - PORT FACILITIES
REQUIREMENTS
5.1 METHODOLOGY
TABLE 27: PROJECTION OF LIVE CARGO
TABLE 28: PROJECTION OF GENERAL CARGO
TABLE 29: PROJECTION OF CONTAINERISED
CARGO
TABLE 30: PROJECTION OF BULK CARGO
TABLE 31: PROJECTION OF LIQUID CARGO
5.2 FACILITIES FOR THE FISHING INDUSTRY
TABLE 32: PURSE-SEINERS: REQUIRED BERTH
LENGTH
TABLE 33: PURSE-SEINERS: EXPECTED GROWTH
TABLE 34: MIDWATER TRAWLERS: REQUIRED
BERTH LENGTH
TABLE 35: MIDWATER TRAWLERS: EXPECTED
GROWTH
TABLE 36: REQUIRED BERTH LENGTH FOR
FREEZER AND WET
FISH
TABLE 37: FREEZER AND WETFISH TRAWLERS:
EXPECTED
GROWTH
TABLE 38: REQUIRED BERTH LENGTH FOR
SMALLER VESSELS
TABLE 39: EXPORTS OF FISH PRODUCTS BY SEA
TABLE 40: GENERAL CARGO BERTH
REQUIREMENTS
TABLE 41: CONTAINER BERTH REQUIREMENTS
TABLE 42: BULK CARGO BERTH REQUIREMENTS
TABLE 43: LIQUID CARGO BERTH REQUIREMENTS
TABLE 44: FACILITIES FOR OFF-SHORE OIL
INDUSTRY
6 TASK IV - PORT DEVELOPMENT
OPTIONS
6.1 ADEQUACY OF EXISTING PORT FACILITIES
TABLE 45: CAPACITY OF WALVIS BAY
COMMERCIAL PORT
TABLE 46: CAPACITY OF WALVIS BAY PORT
WITH EXPANSION
6.2 PORT OPTIONS AND LOCATIONS
6.3 PORT OPTIONS UNDER STRATEGIC CONTEXTS
TABLE 47: PORT OPTIONS UNDER STRATEGIC
CONTEXTS
7 TASK V - ENGINEERING AND COST
ANALYSES
7.1 MAJOR MARINE ENGINEERING REQUIREMENTS
7.1.1
L1: LÜDERITZ FISHING PORT
7.1.2
WB1: WALVIS BAY COMMERCIAL PORT
7.1.3
CC1: CAPE CROSS COMMERCIAL PORT
7.1.4
WB1-B: WALVIS BAY FISHING PORT DEVELOPMENT
7.1.5
WB1-A: WALVIS BAY FISHING PORT DEVELOPMENT
7.1.6
WB1-D: WALVIS BAY FISHING PORT EXTENSION
7.1.7
WB1-C: WALVIS BAY FISHING PORT EXTENSION
7.1.8
CC1-A: CAPE CROSS FISHING PORT
7.1.9
CC1-B: CAPE CROSS FISHING PORT
7.1.10 CC1-C: CAPE CROSS FISHING PORT
7.1.11 CC1-D: CAPE CROSS FISHING PORT
7.1.12 MB1: MÖWE BAY FISHING PORT
7.2 IDENTIFICATION OF PORT DEVELOPMENT
OPTIONS
TABLE 48: MATRIX OF PORT DEVELOPMENT
OPTIONS
7.2.1
PORT DEVELOPMENT OPTION 1
7.2.2
PORT DEVELOPMENT OPTION 2A
7.2.3
PORT DEVELOPMENT OPTION 2B
7.2.4
PORT DEVELOPMENT OPTION 3A
7.2.5
PORT DEVELOPMENT OPTION 3B
7.2.6
PORT DEVELOPMENT OPTION 4A
7.2.7
PORT DEVELOPMENT OPTION 4B
7.2.8
PORT SERVICE TO THE OFFSHORE OIL INDUSTRY
7.3 ALTERNATIVE
"FLEXIPORT" OPTION FOR NEW PORT
7.4 SUPPORTING PHYSICAL
INFRASTRUCTURE AND RESOURCES
TABLE 49: POPULATION OF COASTAL
TOWNS, 1981 AND 1991
TABLE 50: POPULATION PROJECTIONS:
DIFFERENT OPTIONS
TABLE 51: BULKWATER SUPPLIES FROM
NAMIB
TABLE 52: FRESH WATER CONSUMPTION:
WALVIS BAY, 1990/91
TABLE 53: WATER DEMAND: NON-PORT
CENTRES
TABLE 54: WATER DEMAND: CENTRAL
AREA PORT OPTIONS
TABLE 55: TOTAL WATER DEMAND:
CENTRAL AREA
TABLE 56: WATER DEMAND FOR CAPE
CROSS
7.4.1
WALVIS BAY
7.4.2
CAPE CROSS
7.4.2.1 UPGRADING OF THE ACCESS ROAD TO CAPE CROSS
TABLE 57: ROAD: SWAKOPMUND-CAPE
CROSS
TABLE 58: SWAKOPMUND BY-PASS
TABLE 59: CAPE CROSS ACCESS ROAD:
COSTS
7.4.2.2 NEW RAILWAY LINE TO CAPE CROSS
TABLE 60: SCENARIOS FOR
TREKKOPJE-CAPE CROSS RAILWAY
7.4.3
MÖWE BAY
7.5 CONCLUSION: ENGINEERING AND
COST ANALYSES
TABLE 61: ENGINEERING COSTS: PORT
FACILITY DEVELOPMENTS
TABLE 62: COST ESTIMATES:
SUPPORTING INFRASTRUCTURE
TABLE 63: SUMMARY: PORT AND
INFRASTRUCTURAL PROJECT
COSTS
TABLE 64: SUMMARY: PORT AND
INFRASTRUCTURAL OPTION
COSTS
8 TASK VI - COST BENEFIT
ANALYSIS
8.1 INTRODUCTION
8.2 SCOPE AND LIMITATIONS OF THE
ANALYSIS
8.2.1 PORT DEVELOPMENT OPTIONS
TABLE 65: ROAD DISTANCES
8.2.2 ASSUMPTIONS AND METHODOLOGY
TABLE 66: DREDGING COSTS
8.2.3 ESTIMATION OF PORT ACCOUNTS
8.3 FINANCIAL VIABILITY CASH-FLOW
ANALYSIS
TABLE 67: TOTAL LEVY RETURNS
ATTRIBUTABLE TO PORT
PROJECTS
8.4 A FISHING PORT AT MÖWE BAY
8.4.1 PORT INFRASTRUCTURE
8.4.2 SOCIAL AND SUPPORTING INFRASTRUCTURE
8.5 EXPANDED FISHING PORT
FACILITIES AT WALVIS BAY
8.5.1 PORT INFRASTRUCTURE
8.5.2 SOCIAL AND SUPPORTING INFRASTRUCTURE
8.6 EXPANDED FISHING PORT AT
LÜDERITZ
8.6.1 PORT INFRASTRUCTURE
8.6.2 SOCIAL AND SUPPORTING INFRASTRUCTURE
8.7 TWO ALTERNATIVE PORT
DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMMES
9 TASK VII - ANALYSIS OF THE
PORT OPTIONS
10 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS